Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Arda Kardzhali. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali?
Ludogorets starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ludogorets
4-1-4-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 18I. Chochev
- 17Son
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 20A. Camara
- 14P. Stanić
- 42S. Shishkov
- 3A. Nedyalkov
- 2J. Andersson
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 39H. Bonmann
Arda Kardzhali
4-1-4-1- 99B. Karagaren
- 80L. Kotev
- 8D. Yankov
- 39A. Vutov
- 4David Akintola Idowu
- 26B. Akandzha
- 21V. Velev
- 6V. Popov
- 24M. Paskalev
- 5V. Lyubenov
- 1A. Gospodinov
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Arda Kardzhali have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ludogorets wins, 2 draws, 2 Arda Kardzhali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Ludogorets | First League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Ludogorets 2-3 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| May 26, 2025 | Ludogorets 2-2 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| May 9, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali 0-4 Ludogorets | First League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Ludogorets 5-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
Last archived meeting: Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arda Kardzhali score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets sit 3rd in First League (23 points from 9 matches) and Arda Kardzhali sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Arda Kardzhali.
- Where and when is Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali played?
- Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali is played on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Huvepharma Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.