Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Cherno More Varna. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Levski Sofia starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Levski Sofia
4-3-3- 7Reinaldo
- 17Everton Bala
- 3Maicon
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 4C. Makoun
- 71O. Kamdem
- 20Álex Centelles
- 21Aldair
- 1O. Vladimirov
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1- 10Celso Sidney
- 11M. Achi
- 99I. Bounaas
- 24David Teles
- 71V. Panayotov
- 29B. Beyhan
- 37V. Kerchev
- 50E. Tombak
- 5L. Squadrone
- 93G. Ventsislavov
- 31D. Hristov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cherno More Varna have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Levski Sofia wins, 1 draw, 1 Cherno More Varna win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna 0-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Levski Sofia 2-1 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cherno More Varna 1-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| May 26, 2025 | Cherno More Varna 0-0 Levski Sofia | First League |
| May 10, 2025 | Levski Sofia 2-0 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Levski Sofia 1-2 Cherno More Varna | First League |
Last archived meeting: Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cherno More Varna score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Cherno More Varna | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia sit 1st in First League (28 points from 10 matches) and Cherno More Varna sit 14th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Cherno More Varna.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna played?
- Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.