Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Plovdiv the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Lokomotiv Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1,764) and Lokomotiv Sofia (1,696).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 29Christ Longville
- 5T. Pavlov
- 11R. Leijten
- 39P. Umarbayev
- 10J. Iliev
- 7Sevi Idriz
- 2Adrián Cova
- 22I. Ivanov
- 12E. Ali
- 4A. Chindriş
- 1B. Milosavljevic
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Plovdiv have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Lokomotiv Sofia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins, 4 draws, 0 Lokomotiv Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 2-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Plovdiv the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Lokomotiv Sofia.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia played?
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.