Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Varna
The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Varna the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spartak Varna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,386 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Spartak Varna (1,718) and Botev Vratsa (1,713).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1- 11Boubacar Hanne
- 19S. Major
- 17T. Marinov
- 82Tomás Silva
- 6José Ricardo Gomes Sousa
- 7Buá
- 5D. Krastev
- 29Z. Tindano
- 44A. Granchov
- 72Vasco Oliveira
- 23P. Iliev
Botev Vratsa
4-2-3-1- 4I. Goranov
- 12I. Yurukov
- 7R. Tsonev
- 10J. Gallegos
- 24M. Smolenski
- 8A. Stoyanov
- 36M. Stoev
- 3S. Sanyang
- 25A. Buchkov
- 21M. Dimitrov
- 94M. Orlinov
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Varna have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Botev Vratsa have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-6 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Pro Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spartak Varna wins, 2 draws, 2 Botev Vratsa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 0-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
| May 2, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 2-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 2-0 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Spartak Varna 1-1 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Spartak Varna 1-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Botev Vratsa 1-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Varna score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Vratsa score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Botev Vratsa | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Varna sit 7th in First League (16 points from 14 matches) and Botev Vratsa sit 13th (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 16 |
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Varna the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa played?
- Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.