Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Varna
The Footlab model makes Spartak Varna the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Spartak Varna (1,714) and Botev Vratsa (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Varna have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Botev Vratsa have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Spartak Varna win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Botev Vratsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 2-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 2-0 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Spartak Varna 1-1 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Spartak Varna 1-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Botev Vratsa 1-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
| May 13, 2023 | Botev Vratsa 1-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Varna score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Vratsa score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Botev Vratsa | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Varna sit 7th in First League (7 points from 6 matches) and Botev Vratsa sit 11th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Varna the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa played?
- Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.