Match

Real Unión vs Arenas Getxo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gal, Irún

Real UniónArenas Getxo

The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Unión vs Arenas Getxo?

Real Unión starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,833).

73%18%9%
Real Unión winDrawArenas Getxo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Unión vs Arenas Getxo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Unión

4-3-3
  1. 20Ander Martín
  2. 7Unai García
  3. 11Aitor Galarza Altuna
  1. 23Sangalli
  2. 6B. Gaubeka
  3. 22Juan de la Mata
  1. 2Javi Fontán
  2. 4Jordi Pola
  3. 3Álvaro Mateo
  4. 5Gaizka Martínez
  1. 1Jon Tena

Arenas Getxo

4-3-3
  1. 23Álex Oyón
  2. 9José Luis Cortés
  3. 14E. Redondo
  1. 16Gael Akogo Esono
  2. 21I. Telletxea
  3. 20Eneko Zabaleta
  1. 3A. Lekuna
  2. 5J. Zubelzu
  3. 18Rubi
  4. 2J. Larrauri
  1. 13H. Oleaga

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Arenas Getxo have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Unión
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Extremadura 1924(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Athletic Club II(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026UD Ourense(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Mirandes(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Mérida AD(home)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)1-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Barakaldo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Athletic Club II(home)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Cacereño(away)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Real Unión wins, 4 draws, 0 Arenas Getxo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2021Arenas Getxo 0-0 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 5, 2020Real Unión 1-1 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Feb 15, 2020Arenas Getxo 0-0 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 28, 2019Real Unión 1-1 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs Real Unión on Mar 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Real Unión score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Unión1.91.6311/1510/15
Arenas Getxo0.92.328/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Unión sit 13th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 8 matches) and Arenas Getxo sit 20th (2 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Real Unión8242151310
20Arenas Getxo80265222

A question about Real Unión vs Arenas Getxo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Unión vs Arenas Getxo?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Arenas Getxo.
Where and when is Real Unión vs Arenas Getxo played?
Real Unión vs Arenas Getxo is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gal, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Unión and Arenas Getxo

Ready to know everything about football?