Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo
The Footlab model makes Arenas Getxo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Arenas Getxo (1,899) and Mirandes (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mirandes have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Getxo | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mirandes | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 55 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes?
- The Footlab model makes Arenas Getxo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Mirandes.
- Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes played?
- Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.