Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo
The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mirandes wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Arenas Getxo (1,856) and Mirandes (1,930).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arenas Getxo
4-3-3- 9José Luis Cortés
- 23Álex Oyón
- 14E. Redondo
- 16Gael Akogo Esono
- 6I. Garcia
- 24Álvaro Arnedo
- 18Rubi
- 2J. Larrauri
- 15B. Arratibel
- 22A. Dufur
- 1Manuel Obón
Mirandes
4-3-3- 9I. Unzueta
- 18Rodri
- 12Jorge González
- 23Josué Dorrio
- 14M. Auria
- 16Markel Lozano
- 8R. Martinez
- 22Martín Aguirregabiria
- 24Joaquín Fernández
- 4C. Navarro
- 1Jesús Ruiz
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mirandes have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 3-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Getxo | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mirandes | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arenas Getxo sit 20th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 10 matches) and Mirandes sit 3rd (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mirandes | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 8 |
A question about Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Arenas Getxo.
- Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes played?
- Arenas Getxo vs Mirandes is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.