Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Ferrol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
On Elo ratings, Racing Ferrol has 1,884 points and Real Avilés 1,889.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Ferrol
4-3-3- 10Dani Ojeda
- 19Roberto Arroyo
- 11Endika Bujan
- 6Fabio González
- 14Jesús Bernal
- 16Raúl Blanco
- 2Migue Leal
- 17Álvaro Ramón
- 4Germán Novoa
- 5Eric Monjonell
- 1Lucas Díaz
Real Avilés
4-3-3- 8B. Abelenda
- 14Berto Cayarga
- 19N. Poquet
- 7Cris Montes
- 9Álvaro Santamaría
- 5Samuel
- 20O. Carracedo
- 4Markel Artetxe
- 21Jon Sillero
- 15Eric Pérez
- 1Álvaro Ratón
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Real Avilés have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Racing Ferrol wins, 2 draws, 1 Real Avilés win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Racing Ferrol 1-1 Real Avilés | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Racing Ferrol 2-2 Real Avilés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Real Avilés 2-1 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés on Aug 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Real Avilés | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Ferrol sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 7 matches) and Real Avilés sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Avilés | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Real Avilés.
- Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés played?
- Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.