Lugo vs Extremadura 1924: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Extremadura 1924. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lugo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,323 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugo vs Extremadura 1924?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Lugo (1,960) and Extremadura 1924 (1,988).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lugo vs Extremadura 1924
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lugo
4-3-3- 17Chiqui
- 14Álex Gallar
- 11M. Dauda
- 20A. Ulloa
- 15P. Parrilla
- 21G. Berzal
- 5Pol Moreno
- 19R. Lucero
- 18Kike Hermoso
- 3Pere Haro
- 25F. Embadje
Extremadura 1924
4-3-3- 9Rodri
- 11Marco Antonio Pérez González
- 12Nordin
- 24L. Morcillo
- 6Yael Ballesteros
- 16L. Lečić
- 5S. Molina
- 2Z. Tassounte
- 21A. Macias
- 14Diego Espejo
- 1D. Robador
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Extremadura 1924 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Cacereño(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-5 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Don Benito(away) | 4-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Extremadura 1924 score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Extremadura 1924 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugo sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (28 points from 11 matches) and Extremadura 1924 sit 7th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 28 |
| 7 | Extremadura 1924 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 16 |
A question about Lugo vs Extremadura 1924?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Extremadura 1924?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Extremadura 1924.
- Where and when is Lugo vs Extremadura 1924 played?
- Lugo vs Extremadura 1924 is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.