UD Logroñés vs Athletic Club II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Athletic Club II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Athletic Club II?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Athletic Club II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UD Logroñés win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Athletic Club II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Athletic Club II 0-0 UD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | UD Logroñés 0-0 Athletic Club II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Athletic Club II 3-0 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | UD Logroñés 0-1 Athletic Club II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 6, 2022 | UD Logroñés 1-0 Athletic Club II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Athletic Club II 3-1 UD Logroñés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club II vs UD Logroñés on Jan 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club II score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | 2.0 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Athletic Club II | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Athletic Club II | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Athletic Club II?
- The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Athletic Club II.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Athletic Club II played?
- UD Logroñés vs Athletic Club II is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.