Cacereño vs Barakaldo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres
The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Barakaldo. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cacereño vs Barakaldo?
On Elo ratings, Cacereño has 1,929 points and Barakaldo 1,921.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cacereño vs Barakaldo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cacereño
4-3-3- 18Juan Artola
- 16Sergio Navarro
- 9O. Chit
- 6N. Conesa
- 8Álvaro Gete
- 5Toño Calvo
- 22Adrián Expósito
- 17Sergio López
- 2I. Martinez
- 3Manolo Molina
- 1Diego Nieves
Barakaldo
4-3-3- 19Ángel Troncho
- 20Okolo
- 11Carlos Mattheus
- 8Julen Huidobro
- 15I. Jimenez
- 21X. Fernandez
- 17Pablo Trigueros
- 3Ander Zoilo
- 5Aritz Muguruza
- 4O. Marotias
- 13Gaizka Campos
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Barakaldo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cacereño wins, 2 draws, 0 Barakaldo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Cacereño 0-0 Barakaldo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Barakaldo 1-1 Cacereño | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Barakaldo score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacereño | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Barakaldo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cacereño sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 7 matches) and Barakaldo sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cacereño | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 17 | Barakaldo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Cacereño vs Barakaldo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs Barakaldo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Barakaldo.
- Where and when is Cacereño vs Barakaldo played?
- Cacereño vs Barakaldo is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.