Match

Cacereño vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres

CacereñoUD Logroñés

The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cacereño. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Logroñés wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cacereño vs UD Logroñés?

UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,047 vs 1,907).

33%28%39%
Cacereño winDrawUD Logroñés win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cacereño vs UD Logroñés

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cacereño

4-3-3
  1. 18Juan Artola
  2. 16Sergio Navarro
  3. 9O. Chit
  1. 6N. Conesa
  2. 8Álvaro Gete
  3. 5Toño Calvo
  1. 22Adrián Expósito
  2. 17Sergio López
  3. 2I. Martinez
  4. 3Manolo Molina
  1. 1Diego Nieves

UD Logroñés

4-3-3
  1. 21Ismael Santana
  2. 11Marcos Baselga
  3. 19I. Asenjo
  1. 14David Navarro
  2. 20Anai Morales
  3. 6Mario Maroto
  1. 3Sergio Camacho
  2. 5A. Alvarez
  3. 4Eduardo Cabetas
  4. 22Carlos García-Die
  1. 13Fermín Sobrón

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:01 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; UD Logroñés have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mérida AD(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 16, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)1-2Copa Federacion
UD Logroñés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Lugo(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Mérida AD(away)5-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026Pontevedra(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026UD Ourense(away)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cacereño1.40.867/156/15
UD Logroñés2.10.969/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cacereño sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 7 matches) and UD Logroñés sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1UD Logroñés651015716
5Cacereño73317412

A question about Cacereño vs UD Logroñés?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs UD Logroñés?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cacereño.
Where and when is Cacereño vs UD Logroñés played?
Cacereño vs UD Logroñés is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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