Match

Cacereño vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres

CacereñoUD Logroñés

The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cacereño. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cacereño vs UD Logroñés?

UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,921).

Cacereño win31 %
Draw29 %
UD Logroñés win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; UD Logroñés have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gévora(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Villanovense(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026CF Talavera(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Zamora(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
UD Logroñés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Huesca II(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 21, 2026Mirandes(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Zaragoza(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026Huesca(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026SS Reyes(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cacereño1.41.149/158/15
UD Logroñés2.00.696/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Cacereño38101414424944

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs UD Logroñés?
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cacereño.
Where and when is Cacereño vs UD Logroñés played?
Cacereño vs UD Logroñés is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cacereño and UD Logroñés

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