Aretxabaleta vs Derio: result 1-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 4Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Ibarra, Aretxabaleta (Arechavaleta)
Full time
What was the result of Aretxabaleta vs Derio?
Derio won 1-2 on September 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 25′564045Aretxabaleta
- 56′614326Derio
- 81′621825Derio (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Aretxabaleta win at 36%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aretxabaleta have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Derio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Touring(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Zamudio(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-5 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Aretxabaleta wins, 0 draws, 4 Derio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Aretxabaleta 1-2 Derio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Derio 1-0 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Derio 2-0 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Aretxabaleta 0-1 Derio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Aretxabaleta vs Derio on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aretxabaleta score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Derio score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aretxabaleta | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Derio | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aretxabaleta sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 6 matches) and Derio sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Aretxabaleta vs Derio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy