Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Ibarra, Aretxabaleta (Arechavaleta)
The Footlab AI model makes Aretxabaleta the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for R. Union B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aretxabaleta wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B?
On Elo ratings, Aretxabaleta has 1,722 points and R. Union B 1,689.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aretxabaleta
Not enough data to predict the Aretxabaleta lineup.
R. Union B
Not enough data to predict the R. Union B lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aretxabaleta have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; R. Union B have 1, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Amurrio Club(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Durango(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Aretxabaleta win, 0 draws, 0 R. Union B wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | R. Union B 0-2 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: R. Union B vs Aretxabaleta on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aretxabaleta score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; R. Union B score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aretxabaleta | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| R. Union B | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 4/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aretxabaleta sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (14 points from 8 matches) and R. Union B sit 17th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aretxabaleta | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aretxabaleta the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for R. Union B.
- Where and when is Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B played?
- Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Ibarra, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.