Match

Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Ibarra, Aretxabaleta (Arechavaleta)

AretxabaletaR. Union B

The Footlab model makes Aretxabaleta the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for R. Union B. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B?

Aretxabaleta win45 %
Draw25 %
R. Union B win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aretxabaleta have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; R. Union B have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aretxabaleta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Zamudio(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
May 3, 2026Santurtzi(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Real Sociedad III(home)2-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 15, 2026Pasaia KE(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 11, 2026Lagun Onak(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Aretxabaleta3413615566145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B?
The Footlab model makes Aretxabaleta the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for R. Union B.
Where and when is Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B played?
Aretxabaleta vs R. Union B is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Ibarra, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Aretxabaleta and R. Union B

Ready to know everything about football?