Derio vs Touring: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo, Derio
The Footlab model makes Derio the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Touring. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derio vs Touring?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Derio (1,781) and Touring (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Touring have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 31, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 24, 2026 | Lagun Onak(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 17, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 16, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Derio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derio win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Touring win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Derio 2-1 Touring | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Touring 5-2 Derio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Derio 0-2 Touring | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Touring 0-1 Derio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Derio 0-2 Touring | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Touring 2-1 Derio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Derio score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Touring score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derio | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Touring | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derio sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (58 points from 34 matches) and Touring sit 5th (57 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 40 | 58 |
| 5 | Touring | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derio vs Touring?
- The Footlab model makes Derio the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Touring.
- Where and when is Derio vs Touring played?
- Derio vs Touring is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.