Durango vs Lagun Onak: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tabira, Durango
The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lagun Onak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Durango wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durango vs Lagun Onak?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Durango (1,722) and Lagun Onak (1,746).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durango vs Lagun Onak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durango
Not enough data to predict the Durango lineup.
Lagun Onak
Not enough data to predict the Lagun Onak lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durango have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lagun Onak have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Durango wins, 1 draw, 3 Lagun Onak wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Lagun Onak 0-1 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Durango 1-0 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Lagun Onak 1-1 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Durango 1-2 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Durango 0-1 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Lagun Onak 1-0 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Lagun Onak vs Durango on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durango score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lagun Onak score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durango | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lagun Onak | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durango sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (7 points from 6 matches) and Lagun Onak sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Durango vs Lagun Onak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durango vs Lagun Onak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lagun Onak.
- Where and when is Durango vs Lagun Onak played?
- Durango vs Lagun Onak is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tabira, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.