Beasain vs Pasaia KE: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estado Municipal de Loinaz, Beasain
The Footlab model makes Beasain the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Pasaia KE. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beasain vs Pasaia KE?
Beasain starts as the favourite with a 252-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beasain have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Pasaia KE have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Touring(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Náxara(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ebro(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Añorga(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Zamudio(away) | 0-7 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Beasain win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Pasaia KE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Beasain 4-0 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Pasaia KE 4-1 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Beasain 1-0 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Pasaia KE 0-1 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Pasaia KE 1-0 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Beasain 2-3 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Beasain score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pasaia KE score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beasain | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pasaia KE | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pasaia KE | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 46 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beasain vs Pasaia KE?
- The Footlab model makes Beasain the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Pasaia KE.
- Where and when is Beasain vs Pasaia KE played?
- Beasain vs Pasaia KE is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estado Municipal de Loinaz, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.