Santurtzi vs Eibar III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Jorge, Santurtzi
The Footlab model makes Santurtzi the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Eibar III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santurtzi vs Eibar III?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Santurtzi (1,684) and Eibar III (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santurtzi have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Eibar III have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Durango(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zamudio(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zarautz(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deusto(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Portugalete(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Santurtzi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Eibar III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eibar III 3-1 Santurtzi | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Eibar III 1-1 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Santurtzi 2-0 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Santurtzi 3-0 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Eibar III 2-1 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Eibar III vs Santurtzi on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santurtzi score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar III score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santurtzi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Eibar III | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santurtzi sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (39 points from 34 matches) and Eibar III sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32 | 45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 53 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santurtzi vs Eibar III?
- The Footlab model makes Santurtzi the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Eibar III.
- Where and when is Santurtzi vs Eibar III played?
- Santurtzi vs Eibar III is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Jorge, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.