Where and when is Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar played?

Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Argentino de Merlo

Real Pilar

The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Argentino de Merlo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Argentino de Merlo (1,668) and Real Pilar (1,725).

Argentino de Merlo win31 %

Draw31 %

Real Pilar win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentino de Merlo have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Real Pilar have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Argentino de Merlo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Excursionistas(away)	0-2	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026	Arsenal Sarandi(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Ituzaingó(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Talleres Remedios(away)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(home)	1-3	Primera B Metropolitana

Real Pilar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(home)	2-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Armenio(away)	1-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Flandria(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Argentino Quilmes(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Defensores Unidos(home)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Argentino de Merlo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Real Pilar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Real Pilar 1-1 Argentino de Merlo	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 27, 2025	Argentino de Merlo 0-1 Real Pilar	Primera B Metropolitana
Mar 8, 2025	Real Pilar 3-1 Argentino de Merlo	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 10, 2022	Argentino de Merlo 1-0 Real Pilar	Primera C
Mar 5, 2022	Real Pilar 1-1 Argentino de Merlo	Primera C
Jul 31, 2021	Argentino de Merlo 2-2 Real Pilar	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Real Pilar vs Argentino de Merlo on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Argentino de Merlo score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Pilar score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Argentino de Merlo	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	7/15
Real Pilar	1.1	0.8	6	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Argentino de Merlo sit 12th in Primera B Metropolitana (24 points from 20 matches) and Real Pilar sit 7th (31 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Real Pilar	20	9	4	7	23	22	31
7	Real Pilar	32	14	9	9	36	31	51
11	Argentino de Merlo	31	10	10	11	30	30	40
12	Argentino de Merlo	20	6	6	8	14	17	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar?: The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Argentino de Merlo.
Where and when is Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar played?: Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.