Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Laferrere, Gregorio de Laferrere, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Laferrere the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Villa San Carlos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Deportivo Laferrere (1,677) and Villa San Carlos (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Laferrere have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Villa San Carlos have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 3-5 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 3-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Laferrere win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Villa San Carlos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Villa San Carlos 0-2 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Deportivo Laferrere 0-1 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Villa San Carlos 2-0 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Deportivo Laferrere 1-2 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Villa San Carlos 2-2 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 8, 2019 | Deportivo Laferrere 6-3 Villa San Carlos | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Villa San Carlos vs Deportivo Laferrere on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Laferrere score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villa San Carlos score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Laferrere | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Villa San Carlos | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Laferrere sit 13th in Primera B Metropolitana (24 points from 20 matches) and Villa San Carlos sit 21st (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 45 |
| 13 | Deportivo Laferrere | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 38 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Laferrere the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Villa San Carlos.
- Where and when is Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos played?
- Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Laferrere, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Arsenal SarandivsUAI Urquiza
- Sep 12, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsSan Martín Burzaco
- Sep 12, 2026FlandriavsDeportivo Camioneros
- Sep 12, 2026Talleres RemediosvsLiniers
- Sep 12, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDock Sud
- Sep 12, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsSportivo Italiano
- Sep 12, 2026Argentino de MerlovsReal Pilar
- Sep 12, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsDeportivo Merlo