Match

Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Arsenal SarandiUAI Urquiza

The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 59%, against 29% for a draw and 13% for UAI Urquiza. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?

Arsenal Sarandi starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,588).

Arsenal Sarandi win59 %
Draw29 %
UAI Urquiza win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Sarandi have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; UAI Urquiza have 1, 9 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arsenal Sarandi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Ituzaingó(home)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026Argentino de Merlo(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Talleres Remedios(home)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(home)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
UAI Urquiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(home)0-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026Deportivo Armenio(home)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Flandria(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Argentino Quilmes(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Arsenal Sarandi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 UAI Urquiza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026UAI Urquiza 0-1 Arsenal SarandiPrimera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: UAI Urquiza vs Arsenal Sarandi on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arsenal Sarandi score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UAI Urquiza score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arsenal Sarandi1.10.957/155/15
UAI Urquiza0.41.065/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arsenal Sarandi sit 4th in Primera B Metropolitana (37 points from 20 matches) and UAI Urquiza sit 19th (20 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Arsenal Sarandi3215125412257
4Arsenal Sarandi201073271437
19UAI Urquiza203116121620
21UAI Urquiza3231910152828

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?
The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 59%, against 29% for a draw and 13% for UAI Urquiza.
Where and when is Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza played?
Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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