Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 59%, against 29% for a draw and 13% for UAI Urquiza. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?
Arsenal Sarandi starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Sarandi have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; UAI Urquiza have 1, 9 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ituzaingó(home) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Arsenal Sarandi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 UAI Urquiza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | UAI Urquiza 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: UAI Urquiza vs Arsenal Sarandi on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal Sarandi score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UAI Urquiza score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Sarandi | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| UAI Urquiza | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal Sarandi sit 4th in Primera B Metropolitana (37 points from 20 matches) and UAI Urquiza sit 19th (20 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Arsenal Sarandi | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Arsenal Sarandi | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 37 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 32 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?
- The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 59%, against 29% for a draw and 13% for UAI Urquiza.
- Where and when is Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza played?
- Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsSan Martín Burzaco
- Sep 12, 2026FlandriavsDeportivo Camioneros
- Sep 12, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsVilla San Carlos
- Sep 12, 2026Talleres RemediosvsLiniers
- Sep 12, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDock Sud
- Sep 12, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsSportivo Italiano
- Sep 12, 2026Argentino de MerlovsReal Pilar
- Sep 12, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsDeportivo Merlo