Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Armenia, Ingeniero Maschwitz, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Sportivo Italiano the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Armenio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Deportivo Armenio (1,705) and Sportivo Italiano (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Armenio have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sportivo Italiano have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Liniers(away) | 1-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Pilar(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 4-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(away) | 4-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportivo Armenio win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sportivo Italiano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano 1-0 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Deportivo Armenio 1-1 Sportivo Italiano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sportivo Italiano 0-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Deportivo Armenio 3-2 Sportivo Italiano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Sportivo Italiano 1-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Sportivo Italiano 0-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Armenio on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Armenio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sportivo Italiano score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Armenio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportivo Italiano | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Armenio sit 11th in Primera B Metropolitana (25 points from 20 matches) and Sportivo Italiano sit 6th (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 52 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Deportivo Armenio | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
- The Footlab model makes Sportivo Italiano the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Armenio.
- Where and when is Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano played?
- Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Armenia, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Arsenal SarandivsUAI Urquiza
- Sep 12, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsSan Martín Burzaco
- Sep 12, 2026FlandriavsDeportivo Camioneros
- Sep 12, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsVilla San Carlos
- Sep 12, 2026Talleres RemediosvsLiniers
- Sep 12, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDock Sud
- Sep 12, 2026Argentino de MerlovsReal Pilar
- Sep 12, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsDeportivo Merlo