Where and when is Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco played?

Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Almirante Brown, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Brown DE Adrogue

San Martín Burzaco

The Footlab model makes San Martín Burzaco the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Brown DE Adrogue. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Brown DE Adrogue (1,620) and San Martín Burzaco (1,620).

Brown DE Adrogue win32 %

Draw32 %

San Martín Burzaco win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brown DE Adrogue have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; San Martín Burzaco have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brown DE Adrogue
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Real Pilar(away)	0-2	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026	UAI Urquiza(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Villa Dalmine(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Excursionistas(home)	1-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Arsenal Sarandi(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

San Martín Burzaco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Argentino Quilmes(home)	3-2	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026	Defensores Unidos(away)	0-2	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Comunicaciones(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026	Dock Sud(away)	1-4	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 2, 2026	Deportivo Merlo(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Brown DE Adrogue win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 San Martín Burzaco win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	San Martín Burzaco 0-0 Brown DE Adrogue	Primera B Metropolitana
Sep 8, 2025	Brown DE Adrogue 0-0 San Martín Burzaco	Primera B Metropolitana
Apr 19, 2025	San Martín Burzaco 1-2 Brown DE Adrogue	Primera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: San Martín Burzaco vs Brown DE Adrogue on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Brown DE Adrogue score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Martín Burzaco score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Brown DE Adrogue	0.7	0.9	6	5/15	2/15
San Martín Burzaco	0.7	1.3	5	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brown DE Adrogue sit 20th in Primera B Metropolitana (19 points from 20 matches) and San Martín Burzaco sit 10th (28 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	San Martín Burzaco	20	7	7	6	22	19	28
12	San Martín Burzaco	32	9	13	10	31	34	40
20	Brown DE Adrogue	20	4	7	9	12	23	19
20	Brown DE Adrogue	32	7	11	14	20	34	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco?: The Footlab model makes San Martín Burzaco the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Brown DE Adrogue.
Where and when is Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco played?: Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.