Match

Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Excursionistas, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

ExcursionistasVilla Dalmine

The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Excursionistas. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Excursionistas (1,753) and Villa Dalmine (1,748).

Excursionistas win33 %
Draw33 %
Villa Dalmine win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excursionistas have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Villa Dalmine have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Excursionistas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Talleres Remedios(away)2-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(home)5-3Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026Deportivo Armenio(home)2-1Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Flandria(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Villa Dalmine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(away)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(home)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Deportivo Armenio(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Flandria(home)2-1Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Argentino Quilmes(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Excursionistas win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Villa Dalmine win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Villa Dalmine 1-0 ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana
Nov 15, 2025Villa Dalmine 2-1 ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana
Jun 20, 2025Excursionistas 3-0 Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana
Sep 1, 2024Villa Dalmine 0-0 ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana
Apr 13, 2024Excursionistas 2-2 Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana
May 14, 2012Excursionistas 0-3 Villa DalminePrimera C

Last archived meeting: Villa Dalmine vs Excursionistas on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Excursionistas score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Excursionistas1.81.068/157/15
Villa Dalmine0.90.675/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Excursionistas sit 1st in Primera B Metropolitana (41 points from 20 matches) and Villa Dalmine sit 3rd (37 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Excursionistas201253271141
1Excursionistas311786472459
2Villa Dalmine3116105351658
3Villa Dalmine201073241037

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine?
The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Excursionistas.
Where and when is Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine played?
Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Excursionistas, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Excursionistas and Villa Dalmine

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