Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Argentino de Quilmes, Quilmes, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Sportivo Italiano the favourite at 53%, against 30% for a draw and 17% for Argentino Quilmes. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Argentino Quilmes (1,651) and Sportivo Italiano (1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentino Quilmes have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Sportivo Italiano have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Liniers(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Pilar(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 4-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(away) | 4-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ituzaingó(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Argentino Quilmes win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Sportivo Italiano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano 2-1 Argentino Quilmes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Sportivo Italiano 3-1 Argentino Quilmes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Argentino Quilmes 0-0 Sportivo Italiano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Argentino Quilmes 1-0 Sportivo Italiano | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Sportivo Italiano 1-1 Argentino Quilmes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Sportivo Italiano 1-1 Argentino Quilmes | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino Quilmes on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Argentino Quilmes score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sportivo Italiano score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentino Quilmes | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Sportivo Italiano | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Argentino Quilmes sit 16th in Primera B Metropolitana (23 points from 20 matches) and Sportivo Italiano sit 6th (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 23 | 52 |
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 26 | 30 | 37 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano?
- The Footlab model makes Sportivo Italiano the favourite at 53%, against 30% for a draw and 17% for Argentino Quilmes.
- Where and when is Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano played?
- Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Argentino de Quilmes, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Arsenal SarandivsExcursionistas
- Aug 29, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsLiniers
- Aug 29, 2026FlandriavsSan Martín Burzaco
- Aug 29, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsReal Pilar
- Aug 29, 2026Talleres RemediosvsUAI Urquiza
- Aug 29, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Camioneros
- Aug 29, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsVilla San Carlos
- Aug 29, 2026Argentino de MerlovsVilla Dalmine