Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Armenia, Ingeniero Maschwitz, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Armenio the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Villa San Carlos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Deportivo Armenio (1,700) and Villa San Carlos (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Armenio have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Villa San Carlos have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Pilar(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(away) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportivo Armenio win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Villa San Carlos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa San Carlos 4-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Villa San Carlos 2-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Deportivo Armenio 4-0 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Deportivo Armenio 0-1 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Villa San Carlos 0-1 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Villa San Carlos 1-2 Deportivo Armenio | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Villa San Carlos vs Deportivo Armenio on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Armenio score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Villa San Carlos score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Armenio | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Villa San Carlos | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Armenio sit 11th in Primera B Metropolitana (25 points from 20 matches) and Villa San Carlos sit 21st (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Deportivo Armenio | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | 25 |
| 16 | Villa San Carlos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 35 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Armenio the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Villa San Carlos.
- Where and when is Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos played?
- Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Armenia, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Arsenal SarandivsExcursionistas
- Aug 29, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsLiniers
- Aug 29, 2026FlandriavsSan Martín Burzaco
- Aug 29, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsReal Pilar
- Aug 29, 2026Talleres RemediosvsUAI Urquiza
- Aug 29, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Camioneros
- Aug 29, 2026Argentino de MerlovsVilla Dalmine
- Aug 29, 2026ComunicacionesvsDeportivo Merlo