Where and when is Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas played?

Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Arsenal Sarandi

Excursionistas

The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Excursionistas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Arsenal Sarandi (1,737) and Excursionistas (1,753).

Arsenal Sarandi win36 %

Draw30 %

Excursionistas win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Sarandi have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Excursionistas have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arsenal Sarandi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Argentino de Merlo(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Talleres Remedios(home)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Armenio(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana

Excursionistas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Talleres Remedios(away)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(home)	5-3	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Deportivo Armenio(home)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Flandria(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Arsenal Sarandi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Excursionistas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2026	Excursionistas 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi	Primera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Excursionistas vs Arsenal Sarandi on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arsenal Sarandi score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Excursionistas score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal Sarandi	1.0	0.9	5	7/15	5/15
Excursionistas	1.8	1.0	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arsenal Sarandi sit 4th in Primera B Metropolitana (37 points from 20 matches) and Excursionistas sit 1st (41 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	20	12	5	3	27	11	41
1	Excursionistas	31	17	8	6	47	24	59
4	Arsenal Sarandi	20	10	7	3	27	14	37
5	Arsenal Sarandi	31	14	12	5	39	22	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?: The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Excursionistas.
Where and when is Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas played?: Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.