Where and when is Argentino de Merlo vs Villa Dalmine played?

Argentino de Merlo vs Villa Dalmine is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Argentino de Merlo vs Villa Dalmine: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Argentino de Merlo

Villa Dalmine

The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Argentino de Merlo. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Villa Dalmine?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Argentino de Merlo (1,668) and Villa Dalmine (1,749).

Argentino de Merlo win21 %

Draw32 %

Villa Dalmine win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentino de Merlo have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Villa Dalmine have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Argentino de Merlo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Arsenal Sarandi(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Ituzaingó(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Talleres Remedios(away)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(home)	1-3	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana

Villa Dalmine
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Talleres Remedios(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(away)	2-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(home)	1-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Deportivo Armenio(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Flandria(home)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Argentino de Merlo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Villa Dalmine win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Villa Dalmine 1-0 Argentino de Merlo	Primera B Metropolitana
Oct 18, 2025	Argentino de Merlo 3-1 Villa Dalmine	Primera B Metropolitana
May 31, 2025	Villa Dalmine 0-2 Argentino de Merlo	Primera B Metropolitana
Sep 21, 2024	Argentino de Merlo 1-0 Villa Dalmine	Primera B Metropolitana
May 5, 2024	Villa Dalmine 0-0 Argentino de Merlo	Primera B Metropolitana
Mar 3, 2012	Argentino de Merlo 0-3 Villa Dalmine	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Villa Dalmine vs Argentino de Merlo on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Argentino de Merlo score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Argentino de Merlo	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	7/15
Villa Dalmine	0.9	0.5	8	4/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Argentino de Merlo sit 12th in Primera B Metropolitana (24 points from 20 matches) and Villa Dalmine sit 3rd (37 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Villa Dalmine	32	16	11	5	35	16	59
3	Villa Dalmine	20	10	7	3	24	10	37
11	Argentino de Merlo	31	10	10	11	30	30	40
12	Argentino de Merlo	20	6	6	8	14	17	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Argentino de Merlo vs Villa Dalmine?: The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Argentino de Merlo.
Where and when is Argentino de Merlo vs Villa Dalmine played?: Argentino de Merlo vs Villa Dalmine is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.