Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Arka Gdynia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,900) and Podbeskidzie (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arka Gdynia win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Podbeskidzie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2024 | Podbeskidzie 0-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Arka Gdynia 1-0 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Arka Gdynia 2-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Podbeskidzie 0-1 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| May 13, 2022 | Podbeskidzie 1-1 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Nov 5, 2021 | Arka Gdynia 1-0 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Arka Gdynia on May 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arka Gdynia sit 5th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Arka Gdynia.
- Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie played?
- Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026NiecieczavsChrobry Głogów
- Nov 7, 2026Odra OpolevsUnia Skierniewice
- Nov 7, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsMiedz Legnica
- Nov 7, 2026Stal MielecvsRuch Chorzów
- Nov 7, 2026Warta PoznańvsPolonia Warszawa
- Nov 7, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsStal Rzeszów
- Nov 7, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Nov 7, 2026Polonia BytomvsLechia Gdansk