Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Chrobry Głogów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,871) and Chrobry Głogów (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Nieciecza win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chrobry Głogów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | Nieciecza 3-2 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Chrobry Głogów 0-4 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Nieciecza 1-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Chrobry Głogów 0-5 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Chrobry Głogów 0-2 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Aug 11, 2022 | Nieciecza 3-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów on Dec 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów?
- The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Chrobry Głogów.
- Where and when is Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów played?
- Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Arka GdyniavsPodbeskidzie
- Nov 7, 2026Odra OpolevsUnia Skierniewice
- Nov 7, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsMiedz Legnica
- Nov 7, 2026Stal MielecvsRuch Chorzów
- Nov 7, 2026Warta PoznańvsPolonia Warszawa
- Nov 7, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsStal Rzeszów
- Nov 7, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Nov 7, 2026Polonia BytomvsLechia Gdansk