Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Pogoń Siedlce (1,759) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,835).

Pogoń Siedlce win33 %

Draw29 %

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	1-0	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 11, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 2-2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 19, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0-2 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Oct 4, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	I Liga
Feb 17, 2024	Pogoń Siedlce 1-3 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 4, 2023	Pogoń Siedlce 3-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 9, 2022	Pogoń Siedlce 2-0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Jul 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1.1	1.2	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	5	3	2	0	8	3	11
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?: Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.