Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,952) and Nieciecza (1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Podbeskidzie win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Nieciecza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nieciecza 1-1 Podbeskidzie | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Podbeskidzie 2-1 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Nieciecza 2-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Podbeskidzie 2-2 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Nieciecza 2-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Jun 6, 2020 | Podbeskidzie 1-0 Nieciecza | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Podbeskidzie on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Nieciecza.
- Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza played?
- Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Miedz LegnicavsŁKS Łódź
- Nov 21, 2026Lechia GdanskvsOdra Opole
- Nov 21, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Nov 21, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsWarta Poznań
- Nov 21, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPolonia Bytom
- Nov 21, 2026Unia SkierniewicevsPogoń Siedlce
- Nov 21, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsArka Gdynia
- Nov 21, 2026Polonia WarszawavsStal Mielec