Match

Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała

PodbeskidzieNieciecza

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,952) and Nieciecza (1,871).

Podbeskidzie win51 %
Draw24 %
Nieciecza win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podbeskidzie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Opole(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-0Cup
Aug 2, 2026Stal Mielec(away)3-3I Liga
Nieciecza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-3I Liga
Aug 16, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Warta Poznań(home)1-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)2-1I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Nea Salamis(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Podbeskidzie win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Nieciecza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Nieciecza 1-1 PodbeskidzieFriendlies Clubs
Mar 30, 2024Podbeskidzie 2-1 NiecieczaI Liga
Sep 17, 2023Nieciecza 2-2 PodbeskidzieI Liga
Apr 30, 2023Podbeskidzie 2-2 NiecieczaI Liga
Oct 2, 2022Nieciecza 2-2 PodbeskidzieI Liga
Jun 6, 2020Podbeskidzie 1-0 NiecieczaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Podbeskidzie on Jul 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Podbeskidzie1.81.1312/158/15
Nieciecza2.11.6410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Nieciecza5203786
13Podbeskidzie5050885

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza?
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Nieciecza.
Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza played?
Podbeskidzie vs Nieciecza is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Podbeskidzie and Nieciecza

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