Armenia U17 vs Luxembourg U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
The Footlab model makes Armenia U17 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Luxembourg U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Armenia U17 vs Luxembourg U17?
Luxembourg U17 starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,441 vs 1,321).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Armenia U17 have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Luxembourg U17 have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Liechtenstein U17(away) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hungary U17(away) | 1-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Luxembourg U17(home) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Cyprus U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Finland U17(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Hungary U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Liechtenstein U17(home) | 5-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Armenia U17(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Malta U17(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Malta U17(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Armenia U17 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Luxembourg U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Armenia U17 2-2 Luxembourg U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Armenia U17 vs Luxembourg U17 on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Armenia U17 score 0.6 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luxembourg U17 score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia U17 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Luxembourg U17 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Armenia U17 sit 3rd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and Luxembourg U17 sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Luxembourg U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Armenia U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Armenia U17 vs Luxembourg U17?
- The Footlab model makes Armenia U17 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Luxembourg U17.
- Where and when is Armenia U17 vs Luxembourg U17 played?
- Armenia U17 vs Luxembourg U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17