Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld
The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,016) and Karlsruher SC (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Karlsruher SC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Karlsruher SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Karlsruher SC 4-2 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jun 21, 2020 | Karlsruher SC 3-3 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Karlsruher SC sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC?
- The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC played?
- Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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