Match

Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo Dresden1. FC Nürnberg

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (2,024) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021).

Dynamo Dresden win50 %
Draw24 %
1. FC Nürnberg win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)4-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Oviedo(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Palermo(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 20261. FC Nürnberg 3-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Apr 11, 20261. FC Nürnberg 0-2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Nov 7, 2025Dynamo Dresden 1-2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Mar 20, 20221. FC Nürnberg 1-1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2021Dynamo Dresden 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Dec 20, 20191. FC Nürnberg 2-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dynamo Dresden2.80.985/1510/15
1. FC Nürnberg2.71.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11. FC Nürnberg2200726
11Dynamo Dresden2101133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dynamo Dresden and 1. FC Nürnberg

Ready to know everything about football?