Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (2,024) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg 3-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Dynamo Dresden 1-2 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1. FC Nürnberg 1-1 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Dynamo Dresden 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1. FC Nürnberg 2-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
- Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
- Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 23, 2027Hannover 96vsEnergie Cottbus
- Jan 23, 2027SpVgg Greuther FürthvsFC St. Pauli
- Jan 23, 2027Arminia BielefeldvsKarlsruher SC
- Jan 23, 2027Holstein KielvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Jan 23, 2027Eintracht Braunschweigvs1. FC Magdeburg
- Jan 23, 20271. FC KaiserslauternvsVfL Wolfsburg
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