Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs SV Darmstadt 98 played?

Holstein Kiel vs SV Darmstadt 98 is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Holstein Kiel vs SV Darmstadt 98: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel

SV Darmstadt 98

The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs SV Darmstadt 98?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,982) and SV Darmstadt 98 (2,004).

Holstein Kiel win37 %

Draw25 %

SV Darmstadt 98 win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; SV Darmstadt 98 have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

SV Darmstadt 98
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	0-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Portsmouth(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	7-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Holstein Kiel win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98 2-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Mar 7, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98 2-0 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2025	Holstein Kiel 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98	2. Bundesliga
Jan 6, 2024	SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Holstein Kiel	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 30, 2023	Holstein Kiel 0-3 SV Darmstadt 98	2. Bundesliga
Oct 21, 2022	SV Darmstadt 98 1-1 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15
SV Darmstadt 98	2.1	1.7	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
15	SV Darmstadt 98	2	0	1	1	2	3	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs SV Darmstadt 98?: The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs SV Darmstadt 98 played?: Holstein Kiel vs SV Darmstadt 98 is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.