Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC St. Pauli played?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC St. Pauli is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

FC St. Pauli

The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC St. Pauli?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1,877) and FC St. Pauli (1,960).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win37 %

Draw26 %

FC St. Pauli win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC St. Pauli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Jul 19, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-1 FC St. Pauli	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 3, 2024	FC St. Pauli 3-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Aug 19, 2023	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-0 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Mar 11, 2023	FC St. Pauli 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Sep 3, 2022	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC St. Pauli?: The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC St. Pauli played?: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC St. Pauli is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.