Match

Hertha BSC vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Hertha BSCVfL Bochum

The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs VfL Bochum?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,044) and VfL Bochum (1,986).

Hertha BSC win53 %
Draw24 %
VfL Bochum win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Bochum have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha BSC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)4-12. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Sheffield Utd(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Werder Bremen(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hertha BSC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 VfL Bochum win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026VfL Bochum 0-1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Mar 14, 2026Hertha BSC 1-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2025VfL Bochum 3-2 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
May 20, 2023Hertha BSC 1-1 VfL BochumBundesliga
Jan 21, 2023VfL Bochum 3-1 Hertha BSCBundesliga
Feb 4, 2022Hertha BSC 1-1 VfL BochumBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC2.81.339/158/15
VfL Bochum1.31.239/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hertha BSC2200516
7VfL Bochum2101113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs VfL Bochum?
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for VfL Bochum.
Where and when is Hertha BSC vs VfL Bochum played?
Hertha BSC vs VfL Bochum is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hertha BSC and VfL Bochum

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