Arouca vs Academico Viseu: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
The Footlab model makes Arouca the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Academico Viseu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arouca vs Academico Viseu?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Arouca (2,059) and Academico Viseu (1,996).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Academico Viseu have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arouca win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Academico Viseu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Academico Viseu 0-2 Arouca | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Arouca 0-2 Academico Viseu | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Academico Viseu 0-4 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Arouca 1-1 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 3, 2019 | Arouca 2-0 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Academico Viseu 3-2 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Academico Viseu vs Arouca on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Academico Viseu score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Academico Viseu | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 6th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Academico Viseu sit 12th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arouca vs Academico Viseu?
- The Footlab model makes Arouca the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Academico Viseu.
- Where and when is Arouca vs Academico Viseu played?
- Arouca vs Academico Viseu is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.