Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
The Footlab model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?
Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,393 Elo points against 2,050 — a 343-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; GIL Vicente have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sporting CP win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 GIL Vicente win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP 3-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 2, 2026 | GIL Vicente 1-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Sporting CP 2-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 27, 2025 | GIL Vicente 0-1 Sporting CP | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | GIL Vicente 0-0 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 12, 2024 | GIL Vicente 0-4 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP score 2.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 2.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP sit 2nd in Primeira Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | GIL Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente played?
- Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.