Match

Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats

Primeira LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa

Sporting CPGIL Vicente

The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?

Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,442 Elo points against 2,095, a 347-point gap.

66%21%13%
Sporting CP winDrawGIL Vicente win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sporting CP

4-3-3
  1. 10Geny Catamo
  2. 19N. Irankunda
  3. 97L. Suárez
  1. 5Sergi Altimira
  2. 77I. Doumbia
  3. 4S. Andersen
  1. 25Gonçalo Inácio
  2. 22Iván Fresneda
  3. 20M. Araújo
  4. 72Eduardo Quaresma
  1. 1Rui Silva

GIL Vicente

4-2-3-1
  1. 23Héctor Hernández
  1. 20Gil Pinto Martins
  2. 77Murilo
  3. 12A. Lausen
  4. 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
  5. 10Santi García
  1. 39Jonathan Buatu
  2. 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
  3. 47Ricardo Esgaio
  4. 45David Moreira
  1. 30Lucão

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; GIL Vicente have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting CP
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Lens(away)2-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 9, 2026SC Braga(away)3-1Primeira Liga
Sep 19, 2026Arouca(home)2-2Primeira Liga
Sep 13, 2026Famalicao(away)1-1Primeira Liga
Sep 9, 2026Galatasaray(home)3-1UEFA Champions League
GIL Vicente
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026União Santarém(away)3-2Taça de Portugal
Oct 9, 2026Moreirense(away)1-0Primeira Liga
Sep 19, 2026Maritimo(home)1-1Primeira Liga
Sep 13, 2026Benfica(away)1-3Primeira Liga
Sep 6, 2026Academico Viseu(home)0-1Primeira Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sporting CP wins, 2 draws, 0 GIL Vicente wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Sporting CP 3-0 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
Jan 2, 2026GIL Vicente 1-1 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
May 4, 2025Sporting CP 2-1 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
Feb 27, 2025GIL Vicente 0-1 Sporting CPTaça de Portugal
Dec 22, 2024GIL Vicente 0-0 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
Apr 12, 2024GIL Vicente 0-4 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga

Last archived meeting: Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sporting CP2.90.9510/1511/15
GIL Vicente1.01.257/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting CP sit 3rd in Primeira Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sporting CP853020918
7GIL Vicente73226511

A question about Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for GIL Vicente.
Where and when is Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente played?
Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the Primeira Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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