Match

Santa Clara vs Estoril: prediction and stats

Primeira LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores

Santa ClaraEstoril

The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Estoril. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Clara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santa Clara vs Estoril?

Santa Clara starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,138 vs 1,998).

55%25%20%
Santa Clara winDrawEstoril win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Santa Clara vs Estoril

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Santa Clara

4-3-3
  1. 9Gonçalo Paciência
  2. 70Vinícius Lopes
  3. 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
  1. 6Pedro Ferreira
  2. 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
  3. 20Tiago Ribeiro
  1. 5Guilherme Romão
  2. 4Pedro Pacheco
  3. 21Emanuel Fernandes
  4. 42Lucas Soares
  1. 1Lucas França

Estoril

4-2-3-1
  1. 14Y. Begraoui
  1. 12João Carvalho
  2. 10J. Holsgrove
  3. 44M. Robin
  4. 5A. Tsoungui
  5. 7André Lacximicant
  1. 2Ricard Sánchez
  2. 21R. Jurišić
  3. 6Xavi Sintes
  4. 15Isma Sierra
  1. 1Joel Robles

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Clara have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Estoril have 0, 6 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santa Clara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Casa Pia(away)1-0Primeira Liga
Sep 20, 2026SC Braga(home)0-0Primeira Liga
Sep 13, 2026Arouca(away)2-1Primeira Liga
Sep 6, 2026Rio Ave(home)4-0Primeira Liga
Aug 29, 2026Alverca(away)1-1Primeira Liga
Estoril
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Academico Viseu(away)1-2Primeira Liga
Sep 20, 2026Casa Pia(home)1-2Primeira Liga
Sep 14, 2026SC Braga(away)0-1Primeira Liga
Sep 7, 2026Arouca(home)0-0Primeira Liga
Aug 31, 2026Benfica(away)1-2Primeira Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Santa Clara wins, 0 draws, 3 Estoril wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Santa Clara 2-4 EstorilPrimeira Liga
Sep 6, 2025Estoril 0-1 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
Jan 18, 2025Santa Clara 2-3 EstorilPrimeira Liga
Aug 11, 2024Estoril 1-4 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
Apr 30, 2023Estoril 3-0 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
Nov 14, 2022Santa Clara 3-1 EstorilPrimeira Liga

Last archived meeting: Santa Clara vs Estoril on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santa Clara score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 0.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Santa Clara1.70.595/156/15
Estoril0.51.428/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santa Clara sit 4th in Primeira Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and Estoril sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Santa Clara853012418
18Estoril80264122

A question about Santa Clara vs Estoril?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santa Clara vs Estoril?
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Estoril.
Where and when is Santa Clara vs Estoril played?
Santa Clara vs Estoril is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Miguel, in the Primeira Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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