Where and when is Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco played?

Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 39Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Arsenal Sarandi

San Martín Burzaco

The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for San Martín Burzaco. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco?

Arsenal Sarandi starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,633).

Arsenal Sarandi win56 %

Draw27 %

San Martín Burzaco win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Sarandi have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; San Martín Burzaco have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arsenal Sarandi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Ituzaingó(home)	2-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026	Argentino de Merlo(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Talleres Remedios(home)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

San Martín Burzaco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Argentino Quilmes(home)	3-2	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026	Defensores Unidos(away)	0-2	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Comunicaciones(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026	Dock Sud(away)	1-4	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 2, 2026	Deportivo Merlo(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Arsenal Sarandi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 San Martín Burzaco win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	San Martín Burzaco 2-0 Arsenal Sarandi	Primera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: San Martín Burzaco vs Arsenal Sarandi on May 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arsenal Sarandi score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Martín Burzaco score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal Sarandi	1.1	0.9	5	7/15	5/15
San Martín Burzaco	0.7	1.3	5	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arsenal Sarandi sit 4th in Primera B Metropolitana (37 points from 20 matches) and San Martín Burzaco sit 10th (28 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Arsenal Sarandi	32	15	12	5	41	22	57
4	Arsenal Sarandi	20	10	7	3	27	14	37
10	San Martín Burzaco	20	7	7	6	22	19	28
12	San Martín Burzaco	32	9	13	10	31	34	40

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco?: The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for San Martín Burzaco.
Where and when is Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco played?: Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.