Match

Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 39Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Ituzaingó, Ituzaingó, Provincia de Buenos Aires

ItuzaingóArgentino Quilmes

The Footlab model makes Argentino Quilmes the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Ituzaingó. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?

Argentino Quilmes starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,542).

Ituzaingó win23 %
Draw32 %
Argentino Quilmes win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituzaingó have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Argentino Quilmes have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ituzaingó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportivo Merlo(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Argentino de Merlo(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 7, 2026Deportivo Camioneros(home)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Talleres Remedios(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Sportivo Italiano(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Argentino Quilmes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Villa San Carlos(home)0-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026Liniers(away)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Real Pilar(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026UAI Urquiza(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Villa Dalmine(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ituzaingó win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Argentino Quilmes win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 1, 2026Argentino Quilmes 2-0 ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2023Argentino Quilmes 1-0 ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana
Mar 27, 2023Ituzaingó 2-0 Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2022Argentino Quilmes 1-2 ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana
Apr 17, 2022Ituzaingó 2-1 Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana
Feb 3, 2019Ituzaingó 1-0 Argentino QuilmesPrimera C

Last archived meeting: Argentino Quilmes vs Ituzaingó on Jun 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ituzaingó score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Argentino Quilmes score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ituzaingó0.61.356/154/15
Argentino Quilmes0.90.984/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ituzaingó sit 22nd in Primera B Metropolitana (9 points from 21 matches) and Argentino Quilmes sit 16th (23 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Argentino Quilmes3181310263037
16Argentino Quilmes20587191923
22Ituzaingó21161415369
22Ituzaingó3111119194714

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?
The Footlab model makes Argentino Quilmes the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Ituzaingó.
Where and when is Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes played?
Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Ituzaingó, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ituzaingó and Argentino Quilmes

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