Villa Dalmine vs Liniers: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 39Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Campana, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 14% for Liniers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Liniers?
Villa Dalmine starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Dalmine have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Liniers have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dock Sud(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Villa Dalmine win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Liniers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Liniers 1-0 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Villa Dalmine 2-1 Liniers | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Liniers 4-0 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Liniers 1-0 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Villa Dalmine 1-0 Liniers | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 7, 2012 | Villa Dalmine 1-1 Liniers | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Liniers vs Villa Dalmine on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Liniers score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Dalmine | 0.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Liniers | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Dalmine sit 3rd in Primera B Metropolitana (37 points from 20 matches) and Liniers sit 14th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 37 |
| 14 | Liniers | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 24 |
| 17 | Liniers | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 31 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Dalmine vs Liniers?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 14% for Liniers.
- Where and when is Villa Dalmine vs Liniers played?
- Villa Dalmine vs Liniers is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Arsenal SarandivsSan Martín Burzaco
- Oct 10, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsDock Sud
- Oct 10, 2026FlandriavsDefensores Unidos
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsDeportivo Merlo
- Oct 10, 2026Talleres RemediosvsDeportivo Camioneros
- Oct 10, 2026UAI UrquizavsReal Pilar
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsComunicaciones
- Oct 10, 2026Argentino de MerlovsSportivo Italiano