SKA Khabarovsk II vs Metallurg Lipetsk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 23Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina zapasnoe pole, Khabarovsk
The Footlab model makes Metallurg Lipetsk the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for SKA Khabarovsk II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKA Khabarovsk II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Metallurg Lipetsk starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKA Khabarovsk II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Metallurg Lipetsk have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strogino(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shumbrat(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Murom(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ryazan(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rotor-2(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 SKA Khabarovsk II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Metallurg Lipetsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Metallurg Lipetsk 4-0 SKA Khabarovsk II | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | SKA Khabarovsk II 2-1 Metallurg Lipetsk | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Metallurg Lipetsk 2-1 SKA Khabarovsk II | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Metallurg Lipetsk vs SKA Khabarovsk II on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKA Khabarovsk II score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Metallurg Lipetsk score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKA Khabarovsk II | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Metallurg Lipetsk | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SKA Khabarovsk II sit 10th in Second League - Group 3 (23 points from 20 matches) and Metallurg Lipetsk sit 4th (38 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 38 |
| 10 | SKA Khabarovsk II | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 36 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKA Khabarovsk II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
- The Footlab model makes Metallurg Lipetsk the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for SKA Khabarovsk II.
- Where and when is SKA Khabarovsk II vs Metallurg Lipetsk played?
- SKA Khabarovsk II vs Metallurg Lipetsk is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina zapasnoe pole, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.