Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, Metepec
The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina?
Artesanos Metepec starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artesanos Metepec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cañoneros Marina have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | FC Racing(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC Racing(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Caja Oblatos CFD(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Neza(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Artesanos Metepec win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cañoneros Marina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Artesanos Metepec 4-1 Cañoneros Marina | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Cañoneros Marina 1-1 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Artesanos Metepec 3-1 Cañoneros Marina | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Cañoneros Marina 1-0 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Artesanos Metepec 3-0 Cañoneros Marina | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Cañoneros Marina 0-1 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina on Apr 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Artesanos Metepec score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artesanos Metepec | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Cañoneros Marina | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cañoneros Marina | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 49 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina?
- The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Cañoneros Marina.
- Where and when is Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina played?
- Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina is played on October 3, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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