Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros?
Dragones de Oaxaca won 3-2 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′?Dragones de Oaxaca
- 11′?Real Refineros
- 35′?Dragones de Oaxaca
- 49′?Real Refineros
- 63′?Dragones de Oaxaca
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Dragones de Oaxaca win at 64%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragones de Oaxaca have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Real Refineros have 1, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(home) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Refineros score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Refineros | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dragones de Oaxaca sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (19 points from 8 matches) and Real Refineros sit 8th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Dragones de Oaxaca vs Real Refineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 1, 2026Héroes de Zaci0-1Acatlan
- Oct 2, 2026Calor de San Pedro3-2Acambaro
- Oct 3, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico0-0Delfines Coatzacoalcos
- Oct 3, 2026Correcaminos UAT II3-1La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Oct 3, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo3-0Atlético Saltillo
- Oct 3, 2026Ciervos0-5Halcones Negros
- Oct 3, 2026Artesanos Metepec3-0Cañoneros Marina
- Oct 4, 2026Real Apodaca1-2Vaqueros Reynosa