Where and when is Héroes de Zaci vs Acatlan played?

Héroes de Zaci vs Acatlan is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Héroes de Zaci vs Acatlan: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)

Héroes de Zaci

Acatlan

The Footlab model makes Héroes de Zaci the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Héroes de Zaci vs Acatlan?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Héroes de Zaci (1,788) and Acatlan (1,706).

Héroes de Zaci win56 %

Draw20 %

Acatlan win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Héroes de Zaci have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Acatlan have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Héroes de Zaci
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 10, 2026	Montañeses(home)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Neza(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026	Cañoneros Marina(away)	0-5	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(away)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 13, 2026	Celaya(home)	3-2	Liga Premier Serie A

Acatlan
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Colima(home)	1-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Ensenada(away)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 22, 2026	UA Zacatecas(home)	4-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Durango(home)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Héroes de Zaci	1.2	2.3	3	5/15	11/15
Acatlan	1.7	2.7	2	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Héroes de Zaci sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (34 points from 24 matches) and Acatlan sit 13th (21 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Héroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33	46	34
13	Acatlan	26	6	1	19	39	73	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Héroes de Zaci vs Acatlan?: The Footlab model makes Héroes de Zaci the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Héroes de Zaci vs Acatlan played?: Héroes de Zaci vs Acatlan is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.