Real Apodaca vs Vaqueros Reynosa: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Vaqueros Reynosa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Apodaca vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Vaqueros Reynosa have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 19 | 66 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
- The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Vaqueros Reynosa.
- Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Vaqueros Reynosa played?
- Real Apodaca vs Vaqueros Reynosa is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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