Artsul vs Goytacaz: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, Nova Iguaçu, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Artsul the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Goytacaz. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Artsul vs Goytacaz?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Artsul (1,605) and Goytacaz (1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artsul have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Goytacaz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Serrano RJ(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 3-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nova Cidade(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | América RJ(away) | 0-3 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | América RJ(home) | 0-3 | Copa Rio |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Macaé(home) | 4-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Macaé(away) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | SE Belford Roxo(away) | 2-1 | Carioca B2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Artsul win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Goytacaz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2020 | Artsul 1-2 Goytacaz | Carioca - 2 |
| Jul 13, 2019 | Artsul 1-1 Goytacaz | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Artsul score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Goytacaz score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artsul | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Goytacaz | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Artsul | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Artsul vs Goytacaz?
- The Footlab model makes Artsul the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Goytacaz.
- Where and when is Artsul vs Goytacaz played?
- Artsul vs Goytacaz is played on November 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.