Match

AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Frontière, Esch-sur-Alzette

AS Jeunesse EschProgres Niederkorn

The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for AS Jeunesse Esch. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate AS Jeunesse Esch (1,483) and Progres Niederkorn (1,557).

AS Jeunesse Esch win33 %
Draw27 %
Progres Niederkorn win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Jeunesse Esch have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Jeunesse Esch
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains(home)1-3National Division
Aug 16, 2026UNA Strassen(away)0-1National Division
Aug 9, 2026Atert Bissen(home)0-2National Division
Aug 1, 2026Progres Niederkorn(away)1-2National Division
Jul 25, 2026Berdenia Berbourg(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026UNA Strassen(home)0-1National Division
Aug 16, 2026Atert Bissen(away)4-0National Division
Aug 9, 2026Résidence Walferdange(away)1-0National Division
Aug 1, 2026AS Jeunesse Esch(home)2-1National Division
Jul 25, 2026Excelsior Virton(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AS Jeunesse Esch win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Progres Niederkorn win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Progres Niederkorn 2-1 AS Jeunesse EschNational Division
May 17, 2026AS Jeunesse Esch 2-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Dec 6, 2025Progres Niederkorn 0-2 AS Jeunesse EschNational Division
Nov 7, 2025Progres Niederkorn 1-0 AS Jeunesse EschCup
Mar 12, 2025AS Jeunesse Esch 0-3 Progres NiederkornCup
Feb 9, 2025AS Jeunesse Esch 3-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division

Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AS Jeunesse Esch score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Jeunesse Esch1.51.339/158/15
Progres Niederkorn1.51.8310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS Jeunesse Esch sit 13th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Progres Niederkorn4301729
4Progres Niederkorn4301729
13AS Jeunesse Esch3003150
15AS Jeunesse Esch4004280

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn?
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for AS Jeunesse Esch.
Where and when is AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn played?
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn is played on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Frontière, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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