Match

AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Frontière, Esch-sur-Alzette

AS Jeunesse EschProgres Niederkorn

The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for AS Jeunesse Esch. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progres Niederkorn wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate AS Jeunesse Esch (1,512) and Progres Niederkorn (1,557).

35%27%38%
AS Jeunesse Esch winDrawProgres Niederkorn win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AS Jeunesse Esch

Not enough data to predict the AS Jeunesse Esch lineup.

Progres Niederkorn

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Bouche
  2. 77K. Corral
  3. 71F. Hoxha
  1. 23Clayton Duarte
  2. 80K. Avdusinovic
  3. 10Omar Natami
  1. 28A. Guett Guett
  2. 11M. Gilgemann
  3. 14C. Sacras
  4. 27V. Peugnet
  1. 1S. Flauss

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 09:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Jeunesse Esch have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Jeunesse Esch
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Swift Hesperange(away)3-0National Division
Oct 18, 2026Etzella Ettelbruck(home)1-0National Division
Oct 11, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(away)1-4National Division
Sep 20, 2026Bastendorf(away)1-0Cup
Sep 16, 2026US Hostert(away)1-1National Division
Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Etzella Ettelbruck(away)0-2National Division
Oct 17, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(home)1-2National Division
Oct 11, 2026US Hostert(away)2-0National Division
Sep 20, 2026Kopstal 33(away)7-0Cup
Sep 16, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home)0-0National Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AS Jeunesse Esch wins, 0 draws, 3 Progres Niederkorn wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Progres Niederkorn 2-1 AS Jeunesse EschNational Division
May 17, 2026AS Jeunesse Esch 2-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Dec 6, 2025Progres Niederkorn 0-2 AS Jeunesse EschNational Division
Nov 7, 2025Progres Niederkorn 1-0 AS Jeunesse EschCup
Mar 12, 2025AS Jeunesse Esch 0-3 Progres NiederkornCup
Feb 9, 2025AS Jeunesse Esch 3-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division

Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AS Jeunesse Esch score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Jeunesse Esch1.91.649/159/15
Progres Niederkorn1.81.367/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS Jeunesse Esch sit 10th in National Division (13 points from 11 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 7th (19 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Progres Niederkorn1161416919
10AS Jeunesse Esch11416192113

A question about AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn?
The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for AS Jeunesse Esch.
Where and when is AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn played?
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niederkorn is played on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Frontière, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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